Monday, January 9, 2012

Sarkozy gains ground on Socialist rival: poll (Reuters)

PARIS (Reuters) ? French President Nicolas Sarkozy has cut his Socialist rival's lead to the smallest margin so far in the run up to an April and May presidential election, a poll showed Sunday.

However, the poll showed that Socialist candidate Francois Hollande would still comfortably beat Sarkozy in a run-off.

The president has been capitalizing on his central role in Europe's struggle to contain its debt crisis, and gained ground even after announcing plans for an unpopular sales tax hike and after Hollande's campaign took a more aggressive tone.

In the first round of the two-stage vote, on April 22, Hollande would win 28 percent of the vote while Sarkozy would secure 26 percent, the poll by IFOP for weekly newspaper Le Journal du Dimanche found.

Hollande had a 10-point first-round lead shortly after the Socialist Party chose him as their candidate in October.

In the run-off, the poll showed Hollande winning with 54 percent of the vote while Sarkozy would get 46 percent, also the smallest margin registered so far in the election race and down from 20 percentage points in October.

Sarkozy hopes that, in the May 6 run-off, he can pick up ballots from people voting for far-right candidate Marine Le Pen and centrist Francois Bayrou in the first round. Pollsters say many of those voters have not decided yet who to pick in the second round.

Sarkozy, widely expected to announce in February that he is seeking a second mandate, has been gaining momentum in opinion polls even though his economic credentials are under fire, with France at risk of losing its AAA credit rating and unemployment running at a 12-year high.

The president is putting a new focus on spurring growth and reviving French companies' competitiveness. In a political gamble, the government said it would finance a cut in social welfare contributions paid by large companies with an increase in sales tax.

Hollande has stepped up his attacks on Sarkozy, accusing him in an open letter of running the economy onto the rocks and being a "president of the privileged."

The IFOP poll was based on telephone interviews between January 4 and January 6 with 1,163 people registered to vote.

A second poll by Viavoice for newspaper Liberation also found that Hollande's lead had narrowed with 41 percent of those polled wanting him to be France's next president compared with 31 for Sarkozy.

The poll marked the smallest margin since August and was down from as much as 18 percentage points in October, after Hollande became the socialist candidate.

However, the poll, based on interviews with 2,011 people on January 5 and January 6, showed a sharp increase in the number of people wanting the next president to be Bayrou, who closed in on Sarkozy with 26 percent.

"Although voting intentions for the two men are still separated by a margin, this convergence shows a shift in the political power relations," said Viavoice analyst Francois Miquet-Marty in a text accompanying the poll's results.

Bayrou has seen a growing number of politicians on the right rally behind him with former foreign minister Philippe Douste-Blazy, who was one of the founders of Sarkozy's UMP party, announcing Sunday that he was lending his support to the centrist.

(Reporting by Leigh Thomas; Editing by Alessandra Rizzo and Matthew Jones)

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/europe/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20120108/wl_nm/us_france_politics_poll

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